Crypto Radar — Sunday, 26/04/2026
Sunday of consolidation in the crypto market. Bitcoin remains firm above US$ 78,000, ETH stalls near US$ 2,328, and sentiment remains cautious with Fear & Greed at 33 points. The market catches its breath before the week that could define May.
With Bitcoin dominance stable at 60%, the sideways movement of recent days reflects more institutional caution than lack of interest. Volume at US$ 98.58 billion indicates healthy liquidity, but no rush for major moves.
Bitcoin: RSI in Risk Territory
Bitcoin closes the weekend with a weekly gain of 3.2%, but the RSI at 72.5 points lights a yellow warning. Historically, RSI above 70 precedes corrections of 8% to 12% in the short term.
The current price of US$ 78,000.71 is 4% above the SMA20 (US$ 74,940) and 9% above the SMA50 (US$ 71,560). Structure still bullish, but with obvious overbought signals.
Análise Técnica — Bitcoin
The SMA200 at US$ 84,975 represents strong psychological resistance. To break through this level, Bitcoin needs consistent institutional volume — something we don't yet see in current data.
Solid weekly support at US$ 75,875. If it breaks below this floor, the next relevant zone sits at US$ 71,560, where SMA50 and historical smart money purchases coincide.
Ethereum: Consistent Lateralization
ETH shows more discipline than Bitcoin. Neutral RSI at 59.8 points indicates room for both upside and downside. The price at US$ 2,327.98 is only 1% above the SMA20.
Análise Técnica — Ethereum
The 21.6% gap between SMA50 and SMA200 reveals an unresolved medium-term bearish structure. ETH needs to reclaim US$ 2,421 (monthly resistance) to shift this dynamic.
Clear accumulation zone between US$ 2,315 and US$ 2,378. Breakout in either direction will define May for the second-largest crypto asset.
Day's Movements
Altcoins lead Sunday's session. H surges 8.2%, INJ rises 5.7% and VVV advances 5.4%. On the other side, TRUMP plummets 9.7% following news about cancellation of negotiations in Iran.
Stablecoin Rates
Macro and Regulation
According to CoinDesk, discussion about AI agents in the crypto space gains momentum following statements from Alchemy's CEO. "Crypto is built for AI agents, not humans" reflects a trend that could redefine use cases in 2026.
Trump advocates for crypto legislation in a private event with Mike Tyson and Tether's CEO, but the market reacts with skepticism. Electoral promises don't always translate into effective policies — Brazil knows this well.
The CFTC is suing New York for attempting to apply gaming laws to prediction markets. A regulatory battle that could impact platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi in the coming months.
Brazilian Context
With a stable dollar and Drex advancing in the pilot phase, Brazilian investors have an interesting window for crypto positioning. Also read on ON3X: "US$ 30 Billion in RWA: How Institutions Led the Next Crypto Wave According to Chainalysis — and Why Brazil Is in a Privileged Position".
Interpol's HAECHI VI operation confiscated US$ 439 million across 40 countries, freezing 400 crypto wallets. International coordination works — a positive signal for sector legitimacy.
What to Expect Next Week
- Bitcoin's RSI at 72.5 suggests imminent correction. Watch for support at US$ 75,875
- ETH can resolve lateralization. Breakout of US$ 2,378 or breakdown of US$ 2,315 will define May
- US inflation data on Wednesday (30/04) could impact crypto-equity correlation
- Regulatory decisions on prediction markets will affect related tokens
- Institutional volume will be key for Bitcoin to break through US$ 80,000
Disclaimer: Crypto Radar is published daily by the ON3X team for exclusively informational purposes. This content does not constitute investment advice. Do your own research before making financial decisions.