Crypto Radar — April 24, 2026: BTC Falls to $78.0K

Crypto Radar — April 24, 2026

Bitcoin stabilizes at $77.996 this Friday (04/24/2026), practically unchanged over the last 24 hours after a week of moderate gains of 4.5%. The sideways movement reflects market indecision amid growing geopolitical tensions and contradictory economic data. Ethereum retreats 1.4% to $2.316, showing relative weakness that has been dragging on for a week.

The global cryptocurrency market maintains a capitalization of $2.60 trillion, with Bitcoin dominance stable at 60% — a level that historically indicates consolidation before more defined directional movements. Trading volume at $142.16 billion suggests consistent participation, but without the enthusiasm of high volatility periods.

Bitcoin: Hot RSI, Cold Structure

The RSI of 64.40 places Bitcoin near overbought territory, but the medium-term technical structure remains bearish. SMA50 is still 16.7% below SMA200 — a configuration that historically requires patience before sustainable reversal signals.

Resistance at $78.261 has proven solid, coinciding with analyses pointing to the need for a daily close above $80,000 to confirm a trend change, as reported by CoinTelegraph. 30-day support at $65.970 remains distant, but is the line that defines whether we are in a correction or a new bearish phase.

Correlation with traditional markets remains elevated. According to CoinDesk, the rally hesitation reflects nervousness about Japanese inflation and Middle East tensions — factors that traditionally benefit risk assets like Bitcoin when resolved, but generate short-term volatility.

Ethereum: Relative Weakness Persists

ETH at $2.316 shows neutral RSI at 54.30, but negative weekly performance of 0.1% evidences lack of momentum. SMA50 22.7% below SMA200 indicates an even more fragile structure than Bitcoin.

The news that DeFi protocols pledged 43,000 ETH to restore rsETH backing after the $292 million KelpDAO hack shows both ecosystem resilience and persistent risks. Aave leading containment efforts is bullish for decentralized governance, but bearish for short-term sentiment.

7-day resistance at $2.378 remains untouched. For a convincing reversal, ETH needs to recover $2.500 and sustain above that level for at least a week.

Day Movers

STABLE leads gains with impressive 24.1%, followed by ZEC (+10.1%) and AERO (+5.9%). Zcash benefits from renewed interest in privacy following growing global regulatory concerns.

Among losses, MON (-6.5%) and QNT (-2.6%) reflect rotation away from lower-cap tokens. The movement suggests institutional caution, not retail panic.

Stablecoin Rates

Macro and Geopolitical Risks

Fear & Greed Index at 39 indicates moderate fear — a level that historically precedes recoveries when combined with RSI oversold. However, geopolitical tensions remain a catalyst for unpredictable volatility.

The Wisconsin case against prediction market exchanges (Kalshi, Coinbase, Polymarket) adds regulatory uncertainty. Paradoxically, the arrest of an American soldier for $400,000 bets on Polymarket about Maduro's capture shows both adoption and growing regulatory risks.

ON3X Context

Our coverage of Lazarus Group security threats targeting crypto executives via fake MacBooks shows growing operational risks. Also read on ON3X: analysis on American banks requesting more time on the GENIUS Act while Brazil and the EU advance in stablecoin regulation.

The Zondacrypto case in Poland (€82M missing, 4,500 BTC locked) is a reminder that due diligence on exchanges remains critical, especially in jurisdictions with limited oversight.

What to Watch Tomorrow

• Bitcoin's weekly close — sustaining above $77,000 is bullish for next week
• Developments in the KelpDAO/rsETH case and impact on Ethereum's TVL
• Possible escalation of geopolitical tensions over the weekend
• Stablecoin movement indicating institutional positioning for Monday