Crypto Radar: Monday, 03/30/2026
The crypto market woke up on Monday, 03/30/2026, with caution, but signs of relief are beginning to appear. Bitcoin rose to $68,208 (+1.8% in 24h), while Ethereum posted a more impressive gain of 3.5%, reaching $2,105. The Fear & Greed Index remains firmly in extreme fear territory (8/100), but today's movement suggests that smart money may be beginning to position itself.
News that Iran is showing willingness to end the conflict with Israel, according to CoinDesk reporting, is fueling optimism in traditional and crypto markets. Stocks are rising, oil is plummeting, and Bitcoin is benefiting from renewed risk appetite.
Market Overview
With a total cap of $2.35 trillion and 24h volume at $99 billion, the market shows mixed signals. Bitcoin's dominance at 58.2% indicates that money still prefers the primary asset, but ETH's superior gain (+3.5% vs +1.8% for BTC) suggests rotation toward altcoins.
The macro scenario contributes to this improvement. According to CoinTelegraph, stocks and Bitcoin are surging with the possibility of ending the war between the US and Iran-Israel. Trump stated that the US will leave Iran "within 2 to 3 weeks", reducing the geopolitical tension that was pressuring risk assets.
Bitcoin: Technical Structure Still Bearish
Despite the daily gain, Bitcoin maintains a challenging technical structure. The RSI at 40.8 shows neutrality, but the moving averages tell a different story. With the price at $68,208, BTC is below the SMA20 ($69,758) and close to the SMA50 ($68,658).
The bigger problem is the SMA200 at $90,344 – a 24% distance that confirms a bearish long-term trend. To break this narrative, Bitcoin needs to reclaim and sustain above $74,858, the monthly resistance.
Análise Técnica — Bitcoin
The 7-day support at $65,970 remains solid. A break below this would open the path to monthly support at the same level. A constructive scenario would be breaking $68,791 (weekly resistance) with volume.
Ethereum: More Favorable Positioning
Ethereum shows superior performance with $2,105, positioned between SMA20 ($2,120) and SMA50 ($2,041). This "mixed" configuration of trend analysis is more favorable than Bitcoin's situation.
RSI of 42 also suggests neutrality, but with potential for movement. The resistance at $2,108 is practically touched, and a confirmed break could take ETH to $2,351 (monthly resistance).
Análise Técnica — Ethereum
Ethereum's problem lies in the distance from the SMA200 at $3,042 – a 32.9% gap that indicates a more severe bear market than Bitcoin. But in the short term, ETH has a better setup for bullish moves.
Top Gainers and Losers
ALGO leads the gains with an impressive +17.7%, followed by STABLE (+17%) and ZEC (+9.3%). These moves suggest rotation toward lower cap altcoins, typical of sentiment improvement moments.
On the negative side, SIREN plummets -68.1%, indicating a possible project-specific event. RIVER (-3.6%) and HYPE (-2.4%) show moderate losses in a rising market.
Stablecoin Rates
Macro and Institutional Context
Significant development comes from Bitcoin's entry into the public securities market. According to CoinDesk, Moody's granted a rating for an unprecedented crypto deal, legitimizing Bitcoin as an asset class in traditional capital markets.
In Brazil, the seizure of R$ 934 million in crypto by the Federal Police demonstrates increasing sophistication of authorities in combating money laundering. This regulatory rigor, paradoxically, may accelerate institutional adoption by creating a cleaner environment.
Also read on ON3X: "Lido DAO Proposes $20 Million LDO Buyback After Token Plunges 95%" and "Brazilian Federal Police Seizes R$ 934 Million in Crypto Money Laundering Crackdown".
What to Watch Tomorrow
Tuesday will be crucial to confirm whether this relief move has sustaining power. Points of attention:
- Bitcoin sustaining above $68,200 and testing resistance at $68,791
- Ethereum confirming breakout of $2,108 with volume
- US-Iran geopolitical developments impacting traditional markets
- Trading volume to validate move or indicate fake breakout
- Fear & Greed Index – any movement above 15 would be bullish
With 46 consecutive days in extreme fear, any sentiment shift can generate explosive movement. Technical conditions are aligning, but Bitcoin needs to prove strength above short-term moving averages.
Disclaimer: Crypto Radar is published daily by the ON3X team for informational purposes only. This content does not constitute investment recommendation. Conduct your own research before making financial decisions.