Crypto Radar — May 14, 2026
Bitcoin breaks through US$ 81.376 this Thursday and accumulates 2.5% in 24h, but don't be fooled by this rise. The RSI at 68.4 points is already flirting with overbought territory, and the technical structure remains bearish with SMA50 8.9% below SMA200. It's a technical correction within a downtrend, not the start of a new bull run.
The global market moves US$ 2.7 trillion with daily volume of US$ 105.26 billion. Bitcoin maintains dominance of 60.3%, while Ethereum remains flat at US$ 2.296. Fear & Greed at 34 points confirms: we're still in fear territory.
The approval of the CLARITY Act in the American Senate committee injects spot optimism into the market. According to CoinDesk, Wall Street is accelerating the tokenization of the stock market while Bitcoin trades at a discount on Coinbase. But be careful: good news in a fear market usually generates technical bounces, not structural reversals.
Bitcoin: Technical Correction in Bearish Structure
Bitcoin tests the resistance of US$ 82.146 after three consecutive days of decline that took the price down to the support of US$ 79.278. The recovery to US$ 81.376 was expected — RSI went from 32 points on Monday to the current 68.4.
The problem is in the larger structure. SMA50 at US$ 74.761 remains 8.9% below the SMA200 of US$ 82.103. This sets up a death cross, a bearish pattern that rarely resolves with a simple 3% correction.
Análise Técnica — Bitcoin
The immediate resistance at US$ 82.146 coincides almost perfectly with the SMA200. If Bitcoin can't break and sustain above this level, the technical scenario points to a retest of the monthly support at US$ 73.856.
Ethereum: Technical Indecision
Ethereum navigates neutral waters with RSI at 55.1 points. The price of US$ 2.296 sits between the SMA20 (US$ 2.312) and SMA50 (US$ 2.248), configuring technical indecision.
The structure is also bearish: SMA50 is 14.5% below SMA200. Increasing volatility suggests Ethereum may set direction in the coming days. A break above US$ 2.369 (weekly resistance) would confirm strength, while a loss of US$ 2.258 (weekly support) would signal a new leg down.
Análise Técnica — Ethereum
Today's Highlights
HYPE leads gains with 12.7%, followed by XDC (+10.8%) and DEXE (+8.8%). On the downside, token B plummets 27.3%, STABLE falls 9.5% and ICP declines 7.1%.
Stablecoin Rates
Stablecoins remain stable in reals, reflecting lateral movement in USD/BRL. USDT maintains a small premium over USDC in the Brazilian market.
Macro Scenario
The approval of the CLARITY Act in the American Senate represents an important regulatory advance, but doesn't change macro dynamics. A strong dollar and uncertainties about American interest rates continue to pressure risk assets.
Cerebras jumped 100% on the IPO of US$ 5.5 billion, demonstrating appetite for AI. CME expands crypto products with CME Crypto Nasdaq index futures. Infrastructure consolidates while prices adjust.
Brazilian Perspective
For the Brazilian investor, today's rise doesn't change the cautious scenario. Dollar near R$ 5.50 makes crypto purchases more expensive, while Drex advances in Central Bank testing. North Korean hackers stole 51% more in 2025 versus 2024, according to CoinTelegraph — another reminder about custody security.
Also read on ON3X: "Crypto Radar — May 13, 2026: BTC Falls to US$ 79.4K" for context on the previous decline.
What to Watch Tomorrow
- Bitcoin sustaining above US$ 81.000
- Reaction at the resistance of US$ 82.146
- RSI behavior if it remains in overbought territory
- Volume — confirmation or divergence of the rise
- Ethereum defining direction between US$ 2.258 and US$ 2.369
Disclaimer: Crypto Radar is published daily by the ON3X team for informational purposes only. This content does not constitute investment advice. Do your own research before making financial decisions.