Crypto Radar — Sunday, March 29, 2026
Bitcoin closes this Sunday, March 29, at $67,913, with modest gains of 1.6% in the last 24 hours, but still accumulating a 4.1% decline for the week. The Fear & Greed Index remains stuck at extreme fear (8/100), reflecting the cautious climate that has dominated the market for weeks. Ethereum shows relative strength, rising 3.5% for the day and trading at $2,097.
Bitcoin's dominance at 58.1% suggests capital is still seeking refuge in the largest cryptocurrency, while altcoins face additional pressure. The global volume of $99.09 billion indicates moderate participation — enough to maintain liquidity, but far from euphoria peaks.
The macro scenario remains complex. According to CoinDesk, reports of possible Iranian willingness to end conflicts caused Bitcoin and stocks to rise while oil retreated. Geopolitical tension from recent days, with the Strait of Hormuz threatened and oil hitting $120, created extreme volatility in traditional markets — and crypto was not immune.
For Brazilian investors, the situation becomes more complex with the dollar still pressured by global uncertainties. Those who bought BTC at R$ 350,000 in January see the current value near R$ 370,000 — a gain that doesn't offset the volatility of the period.
Bitcoin: Bearish Structure But RSI Shows Relief
Bitcoin's technical chart reveals a clearly bearish structure. The SMA50 remains 24% below the SMA200, confirming that the long-term trend is still negative. Bitcoin trades below the 20 and 50-period moving averages, at $69,744 and $68,652 respectively.
But it's not all dark. The RSI at 40.10 shows neutral territory — far from the oversold region that marked recent months. The weekly support at $65,970 remains firm, while resistance at $68,791 was tested without success.
Análise Técnica — Bitcoin
The 30-day analysis shows similar scenario: support at $65,970 and more distant resistance at $74,858. Bitcoin needs to reclaim the SMA20 to give convincing reversal signals. For now, it remains in lateral consolidation — awaiting external catalyst.
Ethereum: Relative Strength Amid Bear Market
Ethereum demonstrates superior resilience to Bitcoin. With RSI at 41.20 and price trading between moving averages, ETH shows mixed structure that could favor upward movement in the short term. The 32.9% distance between SMA50 and SMA200 still indicates a bearish long-term trend, but less severe than Bitcoin.
The weekly support at $1,983 remains distant, leaving room for correction without breaking structure. Resistance at $2,105 was overcome in the last move, opening the path for testing monthly resistance at $2,351.
Análise Técnica — Ethereum
ETH's relative strength may be related to developments in DeFi. As we recently reported, Lido DAO approved a $20 million buyback in LDO tokens after a 95% decline — moves that indicate stabilization attempts in the sector.
Day's Movements
STABLE leads gains with impressive 21.2%, followed by ALGO (+15.6%) and ZEC (+9.7%). Significant movements in specific altcoins may indicate capital rotation or specific technical developments.
On the downside, SIREN plummets 72% — severe drop suggesting specific fundamental problems with the project. RIVER (-2.4%) and TRX (-1.7%) complete the largest losses, but at much more moderate levels.
Stablecoin Quotes
Macro Scenario and Regulation
The Brazilian regulatory environment remains in turmoil. The Federal Police seized R$ 934 million in an operation against money laundering using cryptocurrencies, reinforcing the need for rigorous compliance for exchanges and local users.
In the United States, positive developments include Moody's first rating for a public securities product linked to Bitcoin, according to CoinDesk. Initiatives such as tokenization of the S&P Treasury index show increasing institutionalization — even with the market in extreme fear.
Texas presented proposals involving cryptocurrencies and prediction markets, signaling that American states continue competing to attract the crypto sector regardless of federal position.
What to Watch Tomorrow
- Bitcoin's reaction to the $68,791 test — critical resistance to confirm strength
- Ethereum trying to sustain above $2,100 after today's move
- Middle East geopolitical developments impacting correlation with oil
- Global volume — if it stays above $100 billion, it indicates preserved institutional interest
- Fear & Greed Index movements — 46 days in extreme fear begin to create interesting technical setup
Disclaimer: Crypto Radar is published daily by the ON3X team for informational purposes only. This content does not constitute investment recommendation. Do your own research before making financial decisions.