Crypto Radar — May 30, 2026
Bitcoin closed this Saturday (30/05/2026) at US$ 73.861, with modest gains of 0.7% in the last 24 hours. Despite the brief relief, the weekly trend remains negative with a decline of 3.7%. Extreme fear dominates the market for weeks, with the Fear & Greed index fixed at just 23 points.
Bitcoin dominance rose to 59.2%, indicating flight to the most established asset while altcoins suffer additional pressure. Ethereum follows the movement with 1% appreciation on the day, but accumulates a 4.1% loss for the week.
Overall Market Overview
The global cryptocurrency market totals US$ 2.50 trillion in market cap, with trading volume of US$ 61.21 billion. The numbers reflect an environment still dominated by caution, but with technical signals of possible reversal forming.
Among positive highlights, the H token surged 47.8%, while Worldcoin (WLD) advanced 25.4%. On the negative side, NEAR leads losses with a 3.4% drop.
Bitcoin: RSI Oversold Signals Opportunity
Bitcoin is technically oversold with RSI at 29.20, the lowest level since March. Historically, readings below 30 precede significant bounces, especially when sustained over multiple days.
The moving average structure remains bearish. The price operates below the 20, 50, and 200-period SMAs, with the SMA50 (US$ 77.225) positioned 3.1% below the SMA200 (US$ 79.664). This configuration maintains selling pressure in the medium term.
Key support is at US$ 73.383, tested multiple times last week. A definitive break below this level would open the path to US$ 70.000. At resistance, US$ 77.274 represents the first real obstacle for recovery.
Análise Técnica — Bitcoin
Ethereum: Double Oversold Increases Reversal Potential
Ethereum displays even more extreme conditions than Bitcoin, with RSI at 28.70. The current price of US$ 2.026 is 14.6% below the SMA20 and 19% away from the SMA200, a configuration that historically precedes corrective moves.
The bearish structure is more pronounced in ETH, with SMA50 operating 10.3% below the SMA200 versus 3.1% in Bitcoin. This explains Ethereum's relative underperformance in recent weeks.
Critical support at US$ 2.008 has been tested without definitive break. A recovery above US$ 2.111 (weekly resistance) would be the first sign of technical relief.
Análise Técnica — Ethereum
Main Movers
The positive highlight comes from the H token, which surged 47.8% with no specific identified catalyst. Worldcoin maintains momentum with a 25.4% increase, benefiting from renewed interest in digital identity projects.
Among losses, NEAR leads with a 3.4% drop, while lower liquidity tokens like STABLE and M also retreat. The market's selectivity is evident in the concentration of gains in few assets.
Stablecoin Rates
Macro and Regulatory Scenario
The American regulatory environment remains tense. According to CoinDesk, the SEC sued a Texan for a US$ 12.3 million scheme using fake AI trading bots, reinforcing surveillance over projects that promise automatic returns.
Simultaneously, American authorities seized approximately US$ 1 billion in Iranian cryptocurrencies, escalating the geopolitical pressure campaign. Senator Lummis warned that China may "write the rules" of the new financial era if the CLARITY project doesn't advance in Congress.
In infrastructure, Wall Street faces the "trillion-dollar dilemma": hackers empowered by AI are keeping major banks away from blockchain, according to CoinDesk reporting. Paradoxically, Binance unveiled its master plan for 2030, betting that down periods are ideal for building.
ETF Flows and Sentiment
Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a record streak of 10 consecutive days of outflows, totaling over US$ 400 million. Analysts interpret this move as a contrarian indicator, historically preceding sentiment reversals.
Grayscale sees potential for Hyperliquid to become a "financial services juggernaut" as DeFi expands, signaling selective optimism in infrastructure projects.
What to Expect Next Week
- Decisive test of the US$ 73.383 support level in Bitcoin — a break would open the path to US$ 70.000
- Ethereum needs to recover US$ 2.100 to invalidate short-term bearish structure
- RSI oversold in both assets increases probability of technical bounce
- ETF flow will be a key indicator — reversal of outflows would confirm sentiment change
- Development of infrastructure projects may generate occasional positive narratives
Disclaimer: Crypto Radar is published daily by the ON3X team for informational purposes only. This content does not constitute investment recommendation. Do your own research before making financial decisions.