Crypto Radar - Saturday, April 18, 2026
Bitcoin is breathing at US$ 78,300 after a positive week of +5.4%, but the data shows a market still divided. The RSI at 68.9 signals growing buying pressure, while the Fear & Greed Index remains in fear territory for weeks. BTC's dominance at 59.8% indicates that money is still seeking refuge in the leading cryptocurrency, but the technical structure remains bearish with long-term moving averages still inverted.
The scenario resembles those moments when the market tests investors' patience. Bitcoin is above the 20 and 50-day averages, but still 17.4% below the SMA200 at US$ 85,884. It's like a boxer who returned to the center of the ring, but still hasn't managed to knock down the opponent.
Bitcoin: Testing US$ 78,000
The +3% move in the last 24 hours took Bitcoin exactly to the top of the 7-day resistance at US$ 78,312. With RSI at 68.9, we're close to the overbought zone, but there's still room for one more push before a technical correction.
The moving average structure tells an interesting story: price above SMA20 (US$ 72,983) and SMA50 (US$ 70,915) confirms a bullish short-term trend. However, with the SMA200 still distant at US$ 85,884, any decisive move depends on breaking this psychological barrier.
Análise Técnica — Bitcoin
The 30-day support at US$ 65,970 offers a robust cushion in case the market decides to test lower levels. Stable volume suggests there is no extreme selling pressure, just caution.
Ethereum: Recovery Underway
Ethereum surprises with +4.4% and reaches US$ 2,408, outperforming Bitcoin. The RSI at 63 shows positive momentum without exaggeration, while the price settles comfortably above short-term averages.
The 23.6% distance between SMA50 and SMA200 still represents the largest structural obstacle for ETH. The 7-day resistance at US$ 2,421 is practically being tested, and a convincing break could pave the way for US$ 2,500.
Análise Técnica — Ethereum
With dominance at 11.1%, Ethereum maintains its position as the leading alternative to Bitcoin, especially in moments of capital rotation between the two leading cryptocurrencies.
Highlight of Movements
PENGU leads gains with +11.6%, followed by SPX (+10.5%) and SEI (+8.9%). This movement in smaller altcoins suggests that risk appetite is gradually returning, even with the fear index still dominant.
On the negative side, 币安人生 plummets 16.8%, showing that extreme volatility continues to be present in lower capitalization tokens.
Stablecoin Rates
For Brazilian investors, USDT and USDC quotes are fundamental for entry and exit strategies in the crypto market.
Macro Context
The total market of US$ 2.62 trillion represents a healthy consolidation after the extreme moves of recent months. 24-hour volume at US$ 149 billion indicates adequate liquidity without speculative excesses.
According to CoinDesk, Kraken processed 56 million tax forms for 2025, with one-third below US$ 1. This shows the growing maturity of the sector, but also the need for financial education for small investors.
The Bollinger Bands movement signals an "imminent powerful move" for Bitcoin, as reported by CoinTelegraph. Historically, these signals precede significant breakouts in both directions.
What to Watch Tomorrow
- BTC Resistance: Convincing break of US$ 78,312 could open the way to US$ 82,000
- Bitcoin RSI: If it exceeds 70, expect technical correction to the 62-65 zone
- ETH/BTC: Ratio testing high - possible rotation from Bitcoin to Ethereum
- Volume: Significant increase would confirm strength of current move
- Fear & Greed: Exit from fear zone (above 40) would be a bullish catalyst
Disclaimer: Crypto Radar is published daily by the ON3X team for informational purposes only. This content does not constitute investment advice. Do your own research before making financial decisions.