Crypto Radar: Sunday of Indecision in Fear Territory
Sunday, April 12, 2026. Bitcoin attempts to hold above US$ 70.999 after a week of timid recovery, but the market still breathes the rarefied air of extreme fear. With RSI at 65.90 and Fear & Greed index pinned at just 12 points, we have a typical Sunday scenario: low volume, high tension.
Bitcoin dominance at 58.8% shows that money still seeks refuge in the main cryptocurrency, but cannot break the psychological resistance of US$ 73.054. Ethereum is stalling at US$ 2.186, losing 0.2% in the last 24 hours while fighting against the technical barrier of US$ 2.285.
The total market of US$ 2.42 trillion reflects an ecosystem still in defensive mode. Trading volume of US$ 73.90 billion suggests that major players are on the sidelines, waiting for technical definition before moving pieces on the board.
Bitcoin: Between Heaven and Technical Hell
Bitcoin is living a moment of high contradiction. RSI at 65.90 indicates the asset is approaching overbought territory, but the moving averages tell another story. The SMA50 remains 21.1% below the SMA200, keeping the bearish structure intact since the March crash.
Price above the 20 and 50-day averages confirms short-term bullish trend, but the real battle happens between the US$ 70.757 weekly support and the US$ 73.054 resistance. Whoever wins this 48-hour war dictates the next medium-term move.
Análise Técnica — Bitcoin
The EMA20 at US$ 70.115 functions as an immediate lifeline. Loss of this level opens the path to test monthly support at US$ 65.970. On the positive side, sustained breakout of US$ 73.054 clears space up to monthly resistance of US$ 74.858.
Ethereum: The Wait of the Sleeping Giant
Ethereum shows signs of fatigue after trying to break through US$ 2.200 three times last week. RSI at 62.60 suggests room for one more impulse, but the macro structure remains challenging with SMA50 28.3% below SMA200.
According to CoinDesk data, Tom Lee's Bitmine calls Ethereum a "store of value in wartime", with holdings reaching 4.87 million tokens. A move that may signal institutional accumulation at levels considered attractive.
Análise Técnica — Ethereum
Weekly support at US$ 2.186 coincides exactly with the current price, creating a crucial defining moment. Loss of this floor exposes monthly support at US$ 1.983. Recovery above EMA20 (US$ 2.151) could catalyze test of weekly resistance at US$ 2.285.
Extreme Movements
Sunday brought extreme polarization in altcoins. RAVE surges 258.9% in a speculative move typical of weekend with low liquidity. STABLE rises 15.7% and VVV advances 9.8%, showing that there is still appetite for risk in specific niches.
On the downside, Chiliz, Dash and Polkadot lead losses with declines exceeding 4%. A movement that reflects capital rotation moving away from infrastructure projects to more speculative tokens.
Stablecoin Rates
Institutional Flows in Motion
Cryptocurrency ETPs registered US$ 1.1 billion in net inflows this week, the largest gains since January, according to CoinTelegraph data. A move that contrasts with the extreme fear sentiment in the spot market.
Highlight for US$ 120 million movement in XRP directed to Coinbase, according to CoinDesk, suggesting possible preparation for large-scale operations. Meanwhile, company buys 13,927 Bitcoins for US$ 1 billion, raising its holdings to nearly 800,000 BTC.
Macro Scenario and Perspectives
The CoinDesk 20 index fell 2.9% with all constituents operating in negative territory, reflecting the widespread caution that dominates the market at the end of the weekend. Correlation with traditional markets remains high, leaving crypto vulnerable to external movements on Monday.
For Brazilian investors, dollar stability facilitates investment planning, but attention is needed to developments in Drex and possible regulatory changes that may impact the local market in the coming weeks.
What to Watch Tomorrow
- Bitcoin sustaining above US$ 70.757 (weekly support)
- Ethereum's reaction to the test of support at US$ 2.186
- Opening volume on major exchanges Monday
- Large holder movements after weekend of low liquidity
- Impact of ETP flows on spot market price dynamics
Disclaimer: Crypto Radar is published daily by the ON3X team for informational purposes only. This content does not constitute investment advice. Do your own research before making financial decisions.