Crypto Week: Consolidation Between Fear and Technical Recovery
The week ending this Monday, 25/05/2026, showed a crypto market divided between persistent fear and technical signals of possible recovery. Bitcoin closed at US$ 77,600, accumulating a gain of 1.5% over the past seven days, while Ethereum tested again the US$ 2,124, with a more modest gain of 0.6% in the week.
The Fear & Greed Index remains in extreme fear zone at 30 points, but technical data is beginning to paint a different scenario. Bitcoin's RSI at 34.6 points is approaching the oversold zone, historically a level that precedes trend reversals.
Market Overview
Global capitalization remained stable at US$ 2.59 trillion, with 24h volume of US$ 63.23 billion showing consistent activity but without explosive interest surge. Bitcoin dominance rose to 60%, reinforcing the flight-to-quality movement typical of correcting markets.
What stands out is the divergence between sentiment measured by Fear & Greed and technical indicators. While fear dominates surveys, price structures show consolidation at key support levels.
Bitcoin: Between Bears and Bulls
Bitcoin is like a boxer cornered in the ring: no room to counterattack, but also hasn't taken the knockout. The current technical structure reveals an asset testing critical supports but without definitively breaking through.
The current price of US$ 77,600 is positioned between the SMA20 (US$ 78,857) and the SMA50 (US$ 76,947), characterizing a mixed trend. The SMA50 is still 4.3% below the SMA200, maintaining the long-term bearish structure, but the proximity of the RSI to the oversold zone (34.6) suggests selling pressure is easing.
The 30-day support at US$ 75,483 has not been tested again, indicating that buyers are still active above that level. The resistance at US$ 82,146 remains the main target for any upward move.
Análise Técnica — Bitcoin
Ethereum: Oversold and Opportunity
Ethereum presents the most interesting scenario of the week. With RSI at 26.7 points - clearly in oversold territory - the asset is pricing in excessive pessimism. Historically, RSI below 30 on ETH preceded some of the best buying opportunities of the cycle.
The price at US$ 2,124 is below both the SMA20 and SMA50, confirming short-term bearish trend. But the divergence between technical pressure and fundamentals continues to get smart money's attention.
The support structure at US$ 2,064 will be decisive. A confirmed break below this level would open the way for US$ 1,900. Holding, on the other hand, could catalyze a technical bounce to the US$ 2,370 resistance.
Análise Técnica — Ethereum
Sector Movement
The week was marked by specific moves in market niches. DEXE led gains with 18.9% increase, followed by infrastructure tokens like RENDER (+12.9%), indicating selective interest in projects with defined use cases.
On the negative side, pressure concentrated on smaller and more speculative tokens, with VVV losing 6.4% in the week. The pattern reinforces the rotation to quality that we've observed since the beginning of the month.
Stablecoin Rates
The Brazilian stablecoin market maintained stability, reflecting the global consolidation of the crypto sector. USDT and USDC operated within expected ranges, without significant currency pressures.
Macro Context
According to CoinDesk, PCE data, unemployment claims and housing will be tested next week, potentially impacting Fed rate cut expectations. The correlation between crypto and macro remains high, especially with Bitcoin responding to moves in oil and Asian equities.
The news about the transfer of US$ 203 million in Bitcoin from the Satoshi era to OTC desks, reported by CoinTelegraph, initially generated nervousness, but market absorption was efficient.
What to Expect Next Week
With RSI at 34.6 for Bitcoin and 26.7 for Ethereum, technical indicators point to possible relief from selling pressure. Key levels to watch:
- Bitcoin: support at US$ 75,483 and resistance at US$ 78,857
- Ethereum: maintenance above US$ 2,064 to validate technical bounce
- BTC Dominance: move above 60% may signal continuity of defensive rotation
- Volume: significant increase will be needed to confirm any directional move
Smart money is already positioning itself. With extreme fear for consecutive weeks and technical indicators in oversold territory, the question is not if there will be a bounce, but when.
Disclaimer: Crypto Radar is published daily by the ON3X team for informational purposes only. This content does not constitute investment recommendation. Do your own research before making financial decisions.